Lessons of Logic 1: Confirmation Biases [Deductive Reasoning Series 1]

Why do people think that they're always right? And look for proof to be such. And instead work together with the other person to figure out what they think and what they consider to be truth. That also goes for investigative teams such as Detectives.. They often look at many people's stories. Not just one side of it. So if you try and pick a side of an argument that's, not always the best way to go about it. In fact it's the complete wrong way to do it.


The best way is to look at all views. Look at it collectively to figure out what really happened. My current point is Confirmation Biases are quite tricky to deal with. 

Too many people entertain one idea at once, we tend to gather information from a certain viewpoint we suspect to be correct, even if it could ultimately be wrong.

Which is a result of the mind being lazy rather. It is easier to settle on a belief rather then debate it endlessly. We want to think we have all the facts, however we might not have enough data to fully prove it to be true. Instead of looking for conclusive evidence we look for evidence that seems to support it and view it as conclusive.

How do we avoid this? By deciding what should evidence would be conclusive proof and then ask if we have it. If not we must remind ourselves that while it could seem probable we don't have enough proof to decide just yet that it is. 

As well as reminding yourself not to be selective. Be prepared to accept counter evidence. As it is, only one instance of it not being the case can disprove it entirely.

Consider what you know. Are there more then one possible options? If atleast 2 opposing ideas are probable, create an inner dialogue arguing about each option. By doing this you will remain objective and prevent you from falling to the issue of Confirmation Biases as bias will hardily come into play due to such strategy. 

Deductive Reasoning would increase from this, as well as view the world more rationally. Taking this way of thinking will take some effort but you'll be better off for it.


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